Terms-of-trade effects of productivity shocks in developing economies

ÖZÇELİK E., Tugan M.

REVIEW OF INTERNATIONAL ECONOMICS, cilt.32, sa.4, ss.1587-1606, 2024 (SSCI, Scopus) identifier identifier

  • Yayın Türü: Makale / Tam Makale
  • Cilt numarası: 32 Sayı: 4
  • Basım Tarihi: 2024
  • Doi Numarası: 10.1111/roie.12746
  • Dergi Adı: REVIEW OF INTERNATIONAL ECONOMICS
  • Derginin Tarandığı İndeksler: Social Sciences Citation Index (SSCI), Scopus
  • Sayfa Sayıları: ss.1587-1606
  • Orta Doğu Teknik Üniversitesi Kuzey Kıbrıs Kampüsü Adresli: Evet

Özet

This paper studies the terms-of-trade effects of economy-specific shocks to productivity in developing economies using a panel vector autoregression model with interactive fixed effects and the "max-share" approach. We find that the terms of trade after unanticipated changes in economy-specific productivity mostly exhibit insignificant dynamics in the developing economies. However, we present evidence that they can significantly deteriorate in a particular set of developing countries, namely the ones with a high score on technological deepening and upgrading.